Pollster Ben Ephson has released his latest polls which project a 52.4 percent win for President John Mahama and the National Democratic Congress (NDC) in the December 7 presidential elections.
According to the opinion survey conducted on November 16, 2016 , three-time presidential candidate of the New Patriotic Party (NPP), Nana Akufo-Addo, is likely to garner 45.9 percent of votes with the rest of the presidential candidates having a sum of 1.7 percent of the total votes cast.The polls by the Managing Editor of the Daily Dispatch newspaper in the December 2012 presidential election put the NDC and its flag bearer at that time, John Mahama – the declared winner – ahead of the NPP and Nana Akufo-Addo in the week of the election.
However, Mr Ephson’s January 2009 runoff projection gave hope to the NPP but they lost by less than 50,000 votes.
But Mr Ephson explained later in an interview with Antoinette H. Condobrey, a journalist with The Africa Reports in January 2013, that the forecast was based on the ability of the Eastern Region to turn up in huge numbers. The prediction was, therefore, conditional.
“We said if the Eastern Region stepped up and vote,” Akufo-Addo would win – he reiterated, emphasising ‘if’.